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Reddit's Top January Stocks Are Beating the Market (by a Lot)

May 10, 9:44 am

The first months of 2026 punished almost everyone. AI disruption fears triggered the worst software selloff since 2002. The S&P 500 fell 9% from its late-January peak to a March 30 trough. War broke out with Iran on February 28, the Strait of Hormuz closed, and oil ran above $100. And yet, a basket of stocks chosen by one filter, the names retail investors couldn't stop talking about on Reddit in January, returned an average of 55% over the same window.


We pulled the 15 most-mentioned individual stocks on Reddit in January this year, ranked by average daily mentions across r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks, r/investing, and other popular stock subreddits. The list looks roughly like what you'd expect from January Reddit: meme stocks, mega-cap tech, a few high-conviction speculative plays.

AltIndex Reddit Mentions Data

GameStop sat at the top, no surprise, with 476 average daily mentions. Tesla, Google, NVIDIA, and Meta filled out the top five. The bottom of the list included less obvious names: SanDisk (SNDK) at 103 mentions a day, Rocket Lab (RKLB) at 102, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) at 141. Reddit wasn't the only place these stocks were getting attention, but the retail crowd was talking about them with conviction, well ahead of broader market recognition.

What happened next

From January 2 to May 8, the S&P 500 returned 7.4%. That's the benchmark, and getting there wasn't smooth. Software stocks cratered on fears that SaaS couldn't survive AI agents. The Nasdaq dropped almost 6% in Q1. Iran retaliatory strikes in late February sent volatility to its highest levels in nearly a year. Energy ran. Tech rotated.

Through all of that, the top Reddit stocks returned 55% on average. The median name finished up 14%. Even the trimmed average, stripping out the best and worst two, came in at 15%. Every measure beat SPY by a wide margin.

Average return
+55.5%
All 15 stocks, equal-weighted
Median return
+14.0%
The middle stock in the basket
Trimmed mean
+15.0%
Excluding top 2 and bottom 2
S&P 500 (SPY)
+7.4%
Same window, same start date

Every measure beats the market. The simple average looks almost too good, dragged up by two outliers we'll get to in a moment. But the median, the trimmed mean, and the equal-weighted basket all clear SPY by 6 to 8 percentage points. That's the more honest comparison, and it still says the same thing: retail's January Reddit favorites beat the market through one of the more volatile four-month stretches in recent memory.

The Reddit crowd's biggest wins

Sorted by return, here's how the basket performed:

Company Jan mentions Price (Jan 2 → May 8) Change
SanDisk
SanDisk
SNDK
103 $275.24 → $1,562.34 +467.6%
Intel
Intel
INTC
147 $39.38 → $124.92 +217.2%
AMD
AMD
AMD
70 $223.47 → $455.19 +103.7%
Rocket Lab
Rocket Lab
RKLB
102 $75.99 → $105.47 +38.8%
Google
Google
GOOG
307 $315.10 → $397.05 +26.0%
Amazon
Amazon
AMZN
177 $226.50 → $272.68 +20.4%
GameStop
GameStop
GME
476 $20.62 → $24.28 +17.7%
NVIDIA
NVIDIA
NVDA
279 $188.84 → $215.20 +14.0%
Apple
Apple
AAPL
147 $270.75 → $293.32 +8.3%
Tesla
Tesla
TSLA
308 $438.07 → $428.35 -2.2%
Meta
Meta
META
262 $649.87 → $609.63 -6.2%
AST SpaceMobile
AST SpaceMobile
ASTS
141 $83.47 → $75.05 -10.1%
Microsoft
Microsoft
MSFT
210 $471.86 → $415.12 -12.0%
Palantir
Palantir
PLTR
98 $167.86 → $137.80 -17.9%
Robinhood
Robinhood
HOOD
134 $115.21 → $77.03 -33.1%

Two names stand out, and Reddit was loud on both of them well before Wall Street caught on. SanDisk (SNDK) is up 467%, riding a memory pricing cycle that turned storage scarcity into one of the trades of the year. Reddit started talking about SNDK in early January when daily mentions jumped from almost nothing in December to over 100, and the chatter kept building through February and March as the stock ran. Intel (INTC) is up 217% on its turnaround story and renewed chip-cycle exposure, and it sat in the top ten of Reddit's most-discussed stocks every single month of this year.

These weren't lucky picks buried at the bottom of the list. They were two of the most talked-about names on Reddit through the entire window, and they delivered the kind of returns that fund managers chase all year.

The wins kept going down the list. AMD doubled. Rocket Lab returned 39%. Google, Amazon, GameStop, NVIDIA, and Apple all beat SPY's 7.4%. Nine of the fifteen stocks finished in the green, and the winners overwhelmed the losers by a wide margin.

Not every name worked. Robinhood lost 33%, hit by speculative deleveraging across fintech. Palantir gave back 18% as its AI premium compressed. Microsoft, Meta, AST SpaceMobile, and Coinbase printed smaller losses. Picking any single name off this list was still a coin flip on direction. But Reddit's collective attention, taken as a basket, surfaced more winners than losers, and the winners ran further.

What this actually shows

Reddit chatter, taken seriously and broadly, was a real signal. Although not every stock worked, the most popular stocks on Reddit genuinely beat the market through a window that included a software-sector crash, a Middle East war, and the Strait of Hormuz closing. The S&P bottomed 9% below its January peak. The Reddit basket's median name finished up double digits.

The interesting part isn't that GameStop or Tesla showed up. Anyone could tell you those names get mentioned. The interesting part is that lesser-known names like SanDisk and Rocket Lab made the list at all, and ended up among the biggest winners of the year so far. Reddit was hyping them while most of Wall Street wasn't paying attention, and those are the names that delivered the outsized returns.

That's the part hedge funds and retail investors should both pay attention to. Reddit isn't a crystal ball, and any single stock from a Reddit list is still a coin flip with extra volatility. But Reddit's January top 15, taken as a basket, outperformed the market through a brutal four-month window. That's a dataset worth tracking in real time, not in retrospect.

Track Reddit's most-mentioned stocks in real time

If retail attention in January predicted some of the year's biggest winners, the question is what retail is paying attention to right now. We track Reddit mentions in real time, scanning millions of posts and comments across the major investing subreddits every 15 minutes. Sentiment, mention spikes, and emerging tickers all surface as they happen, not weeks later when the move is already priced in. See today's most-discussed stocks before the next move starts.

View the top Reddit stocks on AltIndex →

Sources: AltIndex Reddit mentions data, AltIndex price data. Returns calculated from Jan 2, 2026 close to May 8, 2026 close. SPY return measured over the same window. Stock prices are historical and for informational purposes only. This article does not constitute investment advice.

Disclosure: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. AltIndex aggregates publicly available alternative data signals. Past signal performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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