Important note
This AI stock analysis for Aspen Aerogels is not up to date. Creating and accessing our AI stock Analysis (powered by our data and Chat GPT) is only available for our premium users. Sign up to get access today!
Aspen Aerogels - AI Stock Analysis
Analysis generated June 17, 2025
Founded in 2001, Aspen Aerogels is a leading provider of aerogel materials for various industrial and building applications. The company's aerogel technology is designed to enhance thermal insulation, making it valuable in sectors such as oil and gas, building materials, and energy storage. Aspen Aerogels prides itself on its innovations and the energy efficiency benefits its products bring to its clients. However, recent financial metrics suggest the company faces various challenges.
Fundamental Analysis
Revenue for the last quarter was $79M. This represents a decrease of 36.04% from the previous quarter, indicating a significant downturn that demands close attention. Furthermore, this quarterly revenue is down 16.70% compared to the same quarter last year, which may raise concerns about the company's growth trajectory.
Net income for the last quarter was $301M. Disturbingly, this figure represents a massive decrease of 2,751.37% compared to the previous quarter. When compared to the same quarter last year, net income has decreased by an astronomical 16,316.84%. These downturns are alarming and may suggest deeper operational or market challenges.
EBITDA for the last quarter was $292M, showing a decrease of 1,551.49% from the previous quarter. Compared to the same quarter last year, there is a decrease of 2,643.21%. Such substantial declines in EBITDA are worrisome and point towards deteriorating profitability.
The current P/E ratio is 29.12. This is relatively high, potentially indicating overvaluation. High P/E ratios may lead to a bearish outlook from investors who might perceive the stock as overvalued given its current earnings performance.
Technical Analysis
Today’s stock price is $5.98. This represents a decrease of 5.68% over the past month, which may present concerns for short-term investors. More troubling, compared to a year ago, the stock price has plummeted by 79.99%, posing significant long-term concerns.
The trend for Aspen Aerogels appears bearish. The current SMA10 is 6.22, which is lower than the previous SMA10 of 6.23, indicating potential downward movement in the stock price. Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 11.1, suggesting the stock is in an oversold territory. While this may present a buying opportunity for some, it largely indicates selling pressure in the market.
Alternative Data Analysis
Examining job postings and employee sentiment, Aspen Aerogels has only 3 open positions as per the latest data from popular job boards. This number is down by 67% in the last couple of months, indicating that the company might be trying to cut costs or improve margins—a worrisome sign for a company looking to grow.
Employee sentiment remains neutral, giving no clear insight into the internal morale of the organization.
In terms of customer acquisition, Aspen Aerogels has an estimated 19,000 visitors to their webpage. However, the number of visitors has decreased by 46% over the last couple of months, which is concerning as it could indicate a loss of customer interest or engagement.
For customer engagement, Aspen Aerogels has 400 followers on Instagram and 1,100 on Twitter, with no meaningful increase or decrease recently. This stagnant engagement on social media further suggests a lack of marketing or customer interaction activities.
According to AltIndex’s AI score, Aspen Aerogels has a score of 55, which signals a hold recommendation. This score integrates fundamental, technical, and alternative data in its prediction analysis.
Conclusion and Recommendation
Overall, the current data presents a complex picture for Aspen Aerogels. The significant declines in revenue, net income, and EBITDA present substantial concerns about the company's financial health. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and the bearish technical indicators could imply further downward pressure on the stock price. Additionally, the alternative data points paint a cautious picture of slowing growth and engagement.
Given the mixed signals from both fundamental and technical aspects, along with the weak alternative data metrics, a prudent approach would be to adopt a hold stance. Investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports and potential strategic moves by the company that could indicate future growth or recovery.
Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.
