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Aspen Aerogels - AI Stock Analysis
Analysis generated September 1, 2025
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. is a leading developer and manufacturer of state-of-the-art aerogel insulation products used in a variety of industries including energy infrastructure, buildings, and apparel. The company specializes in providing innovative products that offer significant advantages in terms of thermal insulation, lighter weight, and space savings.
Fundamental Analysis
The latest revenue reported by Aspen Aerogels for the last quarter was $78 million. This figure shows a slight decrease of 0.89% compared to the previous quarter, indicating a minor but potentially concerning drop. However, when compared to the same quarter last year, the revenue decrease is much more pronounced at 33.75%. This annual decrease could be a significant concern for long-term investors.
The net income reported for the last quarter was $9.1 million. The quarter-over-quarter increase of 96.99% is a positive sign, pointing to significant growth. Nevertheless, the year-over-year change shows a decrease of 153.85%, which is alarming and a potential red flag for investors.
EBITDA was recorded at $640,000 for the last quarter, showing an impressive increase of 100.22% compared to the previous quarter. Despite this short-term growth, the year-over-year comparison reveals a decrease of 97.59%. This mixed signal indicates that while short-term operations are improving, long-term challenges remain significant.
The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 29.12. This elevated ratio suggests that the stock might be overvalued in its current state, pointing towards a bearish outlook given the valuation concern.
Technical Analysis
As of today, Aspen Aerogels' stock price is $6.84. This shows a decrease of 10.00% compared to a month ago, which can be concerning for short-term prospects. Over a longer period, the stock price has plunged by 76.16% compared to a year ago, raising substantial concerns about long-term trends.
The stock shows a bearish trend as the current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is at $6.94, lower than the previous SMA10 of $6.96. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 25.8, indicating that the stock is potentially oversold. This can be a bullish condition, suggesting a possible price rebound.
Alternative Data Analysis
In terms of job postings and employee sentiment, Aspen Aerogels has seen a 200% increase in job postings in the last couple of months, suggesting a growth-oriented strategy. Employee sentiment about the company's business outlook remains neutral.
Look into customer acquisition reveals that Aspen Aerogels' web page has approximately 23,000 visitors, up by 21% over the last couple of months. This increase in page visits suggests a bullish trend in customer interest.
Customer engagement on social platforms remains stagnant, with 400 Instagram followers and 1,100 Twitter followers, showing no significant change in the past few months.
AltIndex’s AI score, which uses a combination of fundamental, technical, and alternative data insights to predict stock performance, indicates a score of 54 for Aspen Aerogels. This score is generally considered a hold signal.
Conclusion and Recommendation
Based on the comprehensive analysis, Aspen Aerogels presents a mixed bag for potential investors. The company's short-term fundamentals, such as net income and EBITDA growth, show promise. However, long-term figures reflect troubling declines in both revenue and income. The bearish trend seen in the technical analysis highlights further concerns, but the oversold condition represented by the RSI could suggest a short-term buying opportunity.
Alternative data offers a somewhat bullish outlook with increased job postings and web traffic but neutral employee sentiment and stagnant social media engagement do not add substantially to this positivity. Given the high P/E ratio and overall mixed signals, the stock could be considered a hold at this time. Investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any positive changes in its financials or technical dynamics before making significant investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.
