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Apollo Global Management - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated January 1, 2025

Apollo Global Management (APO) is a leading alternative asset manager invested in credit, private equity, and real assets. With a diversified portfolio and robust investment strategies, Apollo serves institutional and individual investors globally. The firm’s track record in value-oriented investments and deep expertise in crafting operational improvements for its portfolio companies have solidified its reputation within the industry.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $7.77 billion, showing a remarkable increase of 29.16% from the previous quarter. Compared to the same quarter last year, revenue increased by an impressive 199.54%, reflecting strong year-over-year growth. These figures suggest the company has successfully expanded its operational performance and income streams.

Net income for the last quarter was $811 million, which unfortunately represents a decrease of 4.92% compared to the preceding quarter. However, it shows an 18.91% increase compared to the same quarter last year, which still points towards positive year-on-year growth. This discrepancy between quarterly and annual growth might require further scrutiny and operational adjustments.

EBITDA for the last quarter stood at $6.17 billion, an increase of 199.61% from the previous quarter and a staggering 336.80% growth compared to the same period last year. These figures underline robust operational efficiency and profitability over the long term.

The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.58, which is within the normal range, indicating that the stock is neither overvalued nor undervalued according to market benchmarks.

It's noteworthy that some company insiders have been selling their stock recently, which can be seen as a bearish signal and might suggest concerns over future performance or potential profit-taking.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price is $165.16, a 5.64% decrease compared to a month ago. In the long term, the stock has shown an 83.55% increase compared to a year ago, indicating a robust upward trend. Despite this, the current trend appears bearish.

Looking at the Simple Moving Average (SMA), the SMA10 is currently at 170.34, a slight drop from the previous SMA10 of 170.92. This decrease hints at a potential downward trend in the stock price movement.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 75.3, which indicates an overbought condition, commonly interpreted as a bearish signal. This suggests caution, as the stock may face price corrections in the near term.

Alternative Data Analysis

Apollo Global Management has 64 open positions listed on popular job boards, down by 14% in recent months. This reduction could indicate efforts to improve margins or cut costs, which is not typically favorable for growth-oriented firms.

Customer engagement has shown positive signs. The company’s website attracted an estimated 210,000 visitors, up by 16% recently, indicating increasing interest and potential customer acquisition.

On social media, Apollo Global Management has gained 11,000 Twitter followers, up by 8% in the past couple of months, suggesting growing interest and engagement from the public.

Using alternative data for a holistic perspective, AltIndex’s AI score for Apollo Global Management is 68, which suggests a buy signal. This score integrates fundamental, technical, and alternative data insights to present an aggregated view of the stock’s potential performance.

Conclusion and Recommendation

In conclusion, Apollo Global Management shows significant year-over-year revenue and EBITDA growth, albeit with a slight quarterly dip in net income. Technically, the bearish trends and overbought conditions suggest caution in the short term. However, increasing customer engagement and practical AI indicators offer a bullish long-term view. Based on fundamental, technical, and alternative data analyses, the recommendation is to consider Apollo Global Management stock as a potential buy, keeping an eye on short-term volatilities and insider activities.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.