Webpage Traffic View All

Job Posts View All

Business Outlook View All

Instagram Followers View All

BigBear.ai - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated May 5, 2025

BigBear.ai is a technology company specializing in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) solutions. The company provides advanced analytics and data-driven decision support systems across various industries such as defense, intelligence, and commercial market segments. BigBear.ai's offerings aim to enhance predictive accuracy, automate complex workflows, and improve decision-making processes for businesses.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue: For the last quarter, BigBear.ai reported a revenue of $44 million. This marks an increase of 5.59% compared to the previous quarter and an increase of 8.05% year-over-year. This consistent growth in revenue suggests positive business momentum and a continued demand for the company's services.

Net Income: The net income for the last quarter was reported at -$108 million. This represents a significant decrease of 787.27% from the previous quarter and a decrease of 408.25% year-over-year. The substantial decline in net income is a crucial area of concern and indicates potential issues with profitability.

EBITDA: The EBITDA for the last quarter stood at $8.2 million. While there was a decrease of 56.55% from the previous quarter, there was an increase of 47.45% year-over-year. A growing EBITDA year-over-year showcases some operational efficiencies and profitability despite short-term setbacks.

Insider Trading: A recent trend of insider selling raises some red flags. Insider transactions can be indicative of the company's future performance and sentiment among top management and key stakeholders.

Technical Analysis

Stock Price: The current stock price is $3.36. This reflects a 17.89% increase in the last month and an impressive 122.52% rise over the past year, indicating strong long-term growth.

Simple Moving Average (SMA): The current SMA10 is $3.44, compared to a previous SMA10 of $3.46. The declining SMA10 suggests a potential downward trend in the stock price in the near term.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 56.5. An RSI between 30 and 70 usually indicates a neutral market condition, implying that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold at this moment.

Alternative Data Analysis

Job Postings: BigBear.ai currently has 61 open positions listed, marking a 15% increase in the last couple of months. This indicates potential plans for growth and expansion, which could be a positive sign for the company's future.

Employee Sentiment: The business outlook among employees has been trending upwards by 6% in the last couple of months, reflecting improving sentiment within the company.

Customer Acquisition: Estimated webpage visitors are at 300,000, up by 85%. This increase in traffic can be a bullish indicator for customer acquisition and brand interest.

Customer Engagement: BigBear.ai has witnessed a 32% increase in Instagram followers and a 44% increase in Twitter followers over the past couple of months, further suggesting growing interest and engagement with the company's activities.

Additionally, BigBear.ai has an AI score of 61 from AltIndex's AI analysis, which is a strong buying signal based on a comprehensive evaluation of various data sets.

Conclusion

BigBear.ai presents a mixed but intriguing investment opportunity. The company shows consistent revenue growth, positive year-over-year EBITDA, and significant increases in customer engagement metrics, suggesting operational and market momentum. However, concerns arise from net income losses and insider selling.

Considering its impressive long-term stock performance and increasing interest in its market offerings, a cautious but optimistic outlook may be appropriate for potential investors. The AI score of 61 further bolsters this view with a general recommendation to consider buying BigBear.ai stock while keeping an eye on the noted risk factors.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.