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Cleveland-Cliffs - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated July 22, 2024

Cleveland Cliffs Inc. is a leading iron ore and steel producer in North America. Founded in 1847, the company boasts a rich history and strong reputation in the raw material and manufacturing sector. Headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, Cleveland Cliffs has undergone significant transformations over the years, including strategic acquisitions and expansions that have advanced its position as a key player in the industry. The company primarily serves the automotive, infrastructure, and manufacturing markets, ensuring a robust and diverse customer base.

Fundamental Analysis

The latest quarter's revenue for Cleveland Cliffs was reported at $5.2 billion. This marks a minor increase of 1.70% from the previous quarter, suggesting a steady growth trajectory. However, this figure represents a 1.81% decline compared to the same quarter last year, which could indicate underlying issues or market fluctuations.

Net income for the last quarter stood at $67 million, which is a significant growth of 56.77% from the quarter before. This positive trend could reflect better cost management or operational efficiency. Nevertheless, there is a 17.54% decline in net income year-over-year, raising some concerns about long-term profitability.

EBITDA for the last quarter also amounted to $67 million, denoting a troubling decrease of 346.67% compared to the previous quarter. On a year-over-year basis, EBITDA is down 6.35%. These metrics highlight potential challenges faced by the company in maintaining its profitability.

The current Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is 20.23, which is relatively within a normal range. This shows that the stock is neither undervalued nor overvalued based on earnings, providing some stability to investors.

Technical Analysis

Today’s stock price for Cleveland Cliffs is $15.17, representing a 2.50% increase compared to a month ago. This increase signals a positive short-term trend. However, when compared to the same period a year ago, the stock price is down 5.13%, indicating potential long-term concerns.

The current trend is bearish. The Simple Moving Average for the past 10 days (SMA10) is 15.62, slightly lower than the previous SMA10 of 15.72. This downward trend in SMA10 suggests a potential depreciation in stock value.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51.9, which places it in a neutral condition. The RSI points out that the stock isn't overbought or oversold at the moment, providing a balanced risk-read for technical traders.

Alternative Data Analysis

Starting with job postings and employee sentiment, Cleveland Cliffs has posted 125 open positions on popular job boards, which is a 51% decrease over the last couple of months. This reduction may indicate a focus on improving margins or cost-cutting measures, which can be seen as unfavorable for a company aiming for growth.

The business outlook among Cleveland Cliffs’ employees is neutral, reflecting neither particularly optimistic nor pessimistic sentiments.

Moving on to customer acquisition metrics, Cleveland Cliffs’ website attracts an estimated 130,000 visitors per month. This figure, having declined by 17% over the last couple of months, could indicate a worrying trend of potential customer loss or reduced market interest.

Regarding customer engagement, consideration is given to AltIndex’s AI score, which predicts stock price movements based on fundamental, technical, and alternative data analysis. Cleveland Cliffs has an AI score of 63, which implies a ‘buy’ signal.

Conclusion

Based on the comprehensive analysis, Cleveland Cliffs presents a mixed bag of opportunities and challenges. The slight increase in short-term revenue and net income are positive signs, but the significant year-over-year declines in these metrics suggest potential underlying issues. The decreasing EBITDA figures further highlight concerns in maintaining profitability.

From a technical perspective, the bearish trend coupled with neutral RSI insights doesn’t provide a strong immediate bullish sentiment. Alternative data reveals a cautious corporate environment, indicated by a reduction in job postings and website traffic, though the AI score does offer a somewhat contrary 'buy' signal.

In conclusion, given the data, it's prudent to adopt a cautious optimism about Cleveland Cliffs. While there are positive indicators, significant elements of concern still exist. Investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings reports, market conditions, and company announcements before making any strong commitments. Based on the current analysis, a ‘hold’ recommendation seems appropriate, pending more robust data to confirm either growth or further deterioration.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.
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