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Deckers Outdoor - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated June 6, 2025

Deckers Outdoor Corporation is a global leader in designing, marketing, and distributing innovative footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company's portfolio of brands includes UGG, Teva, and Hoka One One, celebrated worldwide for their quality, style, and comfort. With a keen focus on brand authenticity and innovation, Deckers Outdoor continues to expand its market presence, appealing to a broad spectrum of consumers around the globe.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for Deckers Outdoor in the last quarter was $1.02 billion, a 44.08% decrease compared to the previous quarter. This sharp fall may raise concerns about the company's short-term revenue stability. However, when comparing year-over-year, there is a 6.46% increase, signaling positive long-term growth.

Net income for the last quarter stood at $151 million, decreasing by 66.85% from the previous quarter. Again, although this could be alarming in the short term, it's important to note an 18.71% year-over-year increase, which illustrates solid long-term profitability.

EBITDA for the last quarter was reported at $229 million, down by 61.92% from the previous quarter. However, year-over-year growth shows an impressive 69.41% increase, reflecting operational efficiency and strong profitability.

The current P/E ratio is 16.72. This value is within a normal range, suggesting that the stock is neither overvalued nor undervalued at the moment. It's notable that there have been insider stock sales in recent months, which can be a bearish signal suggesting potential uncertainty about the company's future performance among its insiders.

Technical Analysis

The current stock price of Deckers Outdoor is $108.32, representing a month-over-month decrease of 7.47%. Moreover, there has been a significant 37.77% decrease from the same time last year, indicating long-term concern regarding the stock's performance.

A glance at short-term moving averages reveals the current SMA10 at 106.14, lower than the previous SMA10 of 106.21, suggesting a potential bearish trend. The RSI is 12.5, which signifies a potentially oversold condition that might hint at a forthcoming upward correction in price.

Alternative Data Analysis

Deckers Outdoor has 212 open positions as per data from popular job boards, representing a 12% reduction over the past couple of months. This could indicate an emphasis on margin improvement or cost-cutting measures, potentially hampering growth prospects.

From a customer acquisition perspective, the company's website has attracted an estimated 140,000 visitors, a 5% increase in recent months. This uptick in visitor numbers could translate to a rise in customer acquisition, presenting a positive signal.

Customer engagement metrics showcase a 6% increase in Instagram followers, now at 4,300. This rise demonstrates growing interest and engagement among consumers.

According to AltIndex's AI score, Deckers Outdoor has a score of 55, which translates to a 'hold' signal, balancing the pros and cons derived from fundamental, technical, and alternative data considerations.

Conclusion

In summation, Deckers Outdoor manifests a mixed outlook. On the one hand, the company shows robust year-over-year fundamental growth, which underlines its long-term prospects. On the other hand, recent quarter-over-quarter declines in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, as well as a bearish technical indicator and insider selling, raise short-term concerns.

Furthermore, while the reduction in job postings and neutral employee sentiment are less optimistic, increases in website visitors and social media engagement offer promising signals. The AI score of 55 indicates a hold recommendation, suggesting that while there are issues that need addressing, the long-term potential remains intact.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.