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Emcor Group - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated June 6, 2025

Emcor Group, Inc. is a provider of mechanical and electrical construction, industrial and energy infrastructure, and building services. The company's operations are divided into multiple business segments, including electrical construction, mechanical construction, and facilities services. They serve a wide range of industries, including healthcare, transportation, and commercial properties.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter stood at $3.87 billion, reflecting a 2.58% increase from the previous quarter and a robust 12.68% increase compared to the same quarter last year. This suggests a promising growth trajectory in terms of sales.

Net income for the last quarter was $241 million. While this marks a 17.62% decline from the prior quarter, year-over-year growth was impressive at 22.08%. This mixed signal warrants further scrutiny but leans positive on a broader timescale.

EBITDA, a measure of the company's operational profitability, was $319 million for the last quarter. This represents a 26.52% decrease from the previous quarter but a 10.01% increase compared to the same period last year. The quarterly dip is a concern, highlighting the need to probe operational issues.

The current P/E ratio is 21.37. This suggests that the stock is neither overvalued nor undervalued, adhering to normative valuation ranges. However, the recent insider selling activity could be a bearish indicator, potentially signaling a lack of internal confidence.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price is $489.19, marking a 12.96% rise from a month ago and a substantial 30.41% increase over the past year. These figures illustrate a bullish short-term and long-term trend.

The current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is $476.22, slightly higher than the previous SMA10 of $474.86, indicating a potential upward trend in price movement. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55.4, indicating neutral conditions but with room for further upward movement.

Alternative Data Analysis

Job postings have increased by 12% in recent months, with 400 open positions currently available. This shows that Emcor Group is in a growth phase, potentially expanding its workforce to meet rising demand.

Interestingly, employee sentiment is concerning, with an estimate showing 0% of employees have a positive outlook. While not definitive, this could influence internal morale and operational efficiency.

In terms of customer acquisition, the company's website has seen a 12% increase in visitors recently, totalling 37,000. This uptick hints at growing customer interest. Equally, their Instagram following has grown by 17% to 930 followers, indicating an increased engagement and brand awareness.

Lastly, the AltIndex AI score, which combines fundamental, technical, and alternative data, gives Emcor Group a score of 65, which translates to a buy signal.

Conclusion and Recommendation

The overall financial health of Emcor Group appears positive, particularly when examining year-over-year growth in both revenue and EBITDA. However, the recent quarterly dips in net income and EBITDA necessitate caution and further monitoring.

The technical analysis supports a bullish trend, with the stock price showing significant growth both in the short and long term. The SMA10 and RSI also suggest stable to positive price movement.

Alternative data provides a mixed picture; while customer acquisition and online engagement metrics are up, employee sentiment remains a concern. However, the overall AI score is encouraging.

In conclusion, considering the combination of fundamental, technical, and alternative data, Emcor Group shows promising signs of growth and stability. Caution is advised due to the recent quarterly declines in profitability and negative employee sentiment. Nonetheless, the overall outlook remains positive, and the stock can be recommended as a potential buy with close monitoring.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.
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Disclaimer: AI outputs may be incorrect. This is for informational purposes only and not a substitute for professional financial advice.