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Did Geo Group Beat Earnings?
Geo Group (GEO) reported Q4 '25 revenue of $708M, up 16.5% year-over-year, with reported EPS of $0.25. That came in 7.4% below the $0.27 analyst estimate — an earnings miss.
AltIndex tracks earnings alongside 25+ alternative data signals that can move ahead of the report — Geo Group’s job postings, web traffic, and employee business outlook. See the full GEO stock analysis or the earnings calendar for upcoming reports.
GEO Earnings Surprise History (EPS vs. Estimate)
| Quarter | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 '25 | $0.27 | $0.25 | Missed -7.4% |
| Q3 '25 | $0.23 | $0.25 | Beat +8.7% |
| Q2 '25 | $0.17 | $0.22 | Beat +29.4% |
| Q1 '25 | $0.19 | $0.14 | Missed -26.3% |
| Q4 '24 | $0.23 | $0.13 | Missed -43.5% |
| Q3 '24 | $0.24 | $0.21 | Missed -12.5% |
Geo Group Quarterly Financial Trends
| Metric | Q2 '24 | Q3 '24 | Q4 '24 | Q1 '25 | Q2 '25 | Q3 '25 | Q4 '25 | Q1 '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 607M | 603M | 608M | 605M | 636M | 682M | 708M | — |
| Gross margin | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 25.4% | 25.1% | — |
| Operating margin | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 11.8% | — |
| Net income | -33M | 26M | 15M | 20M | 29M | 174M | 32M | — |
| Net margin | -5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 25.5% | 4.5% | — |
| EPS | $0.23 | $0.21 | $0.13 | $0.14 | $0.22 | $0.25 | $0.25 | — |
Geo Group Earnings Trend Analysis
Over the eight quarters from Q2 '24 to Q1 '26, Geo Group’s quarterly revenue moved from $607M to $0. Geo Group has beaten Wall Street EPS estimates in 3 of its last 8 reported quarters.
When Is Geo Group’s Next Earnings Date?
Geo Group reports earnings on a quarterly schedule. Its most recent report covered Q4 '25. For the confirmed upcoming date — and every other company reporting soon — see the GEO earnings calendar.
Frequently Asked Questions: Geo Group Earnings
Geo Group's next earnings date has not been confirmed yet. See the earnings calendar for all upcoming reports.
Geo Group reported Q4 '25 EPS of $0.25 on revenue of $708M (+16.5% YoY). Geo Group missed estimates, reporting $0.25 vs. the $0.27 estimate.
Geo Group reported Q4 '25 revenue of $708M, up 16.5% from the same quarter a year earlier.
Signals like job postings, web traffic, and employee sentiment reflect business activity in real time and can move before quarterly results are reported. AltIndex combines them with 25+ others in the GEO AI Score.
