Knife River - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated May 13, 2026

Knife River operates in the construction materials and contracting services sector, providing essential materials like aggregates, asphalt, and concrete. The company has positioned itself as a critical player in the infrastructure and construction industry, supporting a wide range of building projects. Known for its extensive network and operational expertise, Knife River is strategically positioned to capitalize on various construction and infrastructure development opportunities.

Fundamental Analysis

For the latest quarter, Knife River reported a revenue of $755 million. This represents a 37.27% decrease compared to the previous quarter, signaling potential short-term concerns about revenue stability. However, when compared to the same quarter of the previous year, there was a 14.89% increase, indicating positive year-over-year growth.

Net income for the last quarter was $32 million, which showed a significant 77.65% decrease compared to the previous quarter. This sharp decline warrants attention. Yet, the positive news is the year-over-year growth of 37.50% in net income, suggesting improved profitability over time.

The company's EBITDA was $117 million, a decrease of 56.83% from the previous quarter. Despite this, the EBITDA improved by 42.26% compared to the same quarter last year, indicating operational efficiency and better earnings before non-operational effects.

The current P/E ratio of 33.34 might be considered high, potentially indicating overvaluation. Investors should be cautious as the high P/E ratio could translate into a bearish outlook if earnings do not improve to support this valuation.

Technical Analysis

Currently, Knife River's stock price stands at $79.62, reflecting an 8.07% decrease over the past month. This can be concerning for short-term investors. Additionally, the stock price has decreased by 19.79% over the past year, which could be considered a cause for long-term concern.

The stock's bearish trend is emphasized by the SMA10 of 87.67, which is lower than the previous SMA10 of 89.00, indicating a potential downward trend. The RSI of 34.8 suggests a neutral condition, neither indicating oversold nor overbought behaviors, which may offer some stability amid the bearish trend.

Alternative Data Analysis

Looking at alternative data, Knife River appears to be actively expanding. The company has 832 open positions, a 51% increase in the last couple of months. This indicates a positive growth outlook as the company ramps up hiring.

Employee sentiment is strong, with 81% of employees having a positive outlook on the business, suggesting good internal morale and confidence in company leadership.

Customer interest appears to be increasing as well. The company’s webpage received an estimated 47,000 visitors, up by 176% in the last couple of months, presenting a bullish sign for potential customer acquisition.

Additionally, Knife River's Instagram page boasts 2,500 followers, an increase of 5% recently, indicating a growing interest and engagement with their brand on social media.

Finally, according to AltIndex’s AI score, which evaluates stock based on various data points, Knife River stands at a score of 76, signaling a buy recommendation based on balanced positive indicators.

Conclusion

Knife River presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic investment case. The company has shown strong year-over-year growth in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, which are critical metrics highlighting operational improvement and profitability. However, the substantial quarter-over-quarter decreases in these metrics could indicate short-term volatility and risk.

Technically, the stock price has shown a significant decline both in the short and long term, with bearish trends dominating. The lower SMA10 supports a downward movement, although the neutral RSI offers some level of stability.

Alternative data provides a more positive outlook, with increased hiring, strong employee sentiment, rising customer interest, and solid social media engagement. The AltIndex AI score supports a buy recommendation, reinforcing the view that the stock may offer an upside potential.

Based on the provided data, the stock of Knife River may be considered a cautious buy for long-term investors who are willing to navigate short-term volatility for potential long-term gains.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.