Important note

This AI stock analysis for Lilium is not up to date. Creating and accessing our AI stock Analysis (powered by our data and Chat GPT) is only available for our premium users. Sign up to get access today!

Lilium - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated January 2, 2025

Lilium is an innovative company operating in the electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) industry. The company aims to revolutionize urban and regional air travel by developing an all-electric jet. Lilium's focus on sustainable, efficient, and fast air mobility solutions places it at the forefront of future transportation technologies. However, like any emerging technology company, Lilium faces numerous challenges, including technological innovation, regulatory approvals, and market adoption.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue: For the last quarter, Lilium reported zero revenue. This is consistent with the previous quarter's revenue but represents a 100% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. This sharp decline is concerning as it indicates Lilium has not yet begun generating revenue from its products or services, emphasizing its pre-revenue stage.

Net Income: The net income for the last quarter was -$43 million, remaining steady compared to the previous quarter but showing a positive increase of 77.44% from the same quarter last year. This improvement suggests that Lilium is effectively managing its expenses or benefiting from one-time financial activities.

EBITDA: Lilium's EBITDA for the last quarter is -$89 million, consistent with the previous quarter but showing a 43.87% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. The decline in EBITDA suggests worsening operational efficiency, raising concerns about Lilium's ability to scale its operations sustainably.

P/E Ratio: Lilium's current P/E ratio is 0.74. Typically, a low P/E ratio can indicate a potentially undervalued stock, often viewed as a bullish signal by investors. However, the low P/E ratio might also reflect market skepticism about Lilium's growth prospects.

Technical Analysis

Stock Price: Today’s stock price for Lilium is $0.05, unchanged from a month ago, showing short-term stability. However, this is significantly lower than last year's price, representing a 95.24% decrease, which is a severe decline indicating long-term concerns.

Moving Averages: The current 10-day Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is $0.05, consistent with the previous SMA10. This lack of change indicates a neutral trend, with no significant upward or downward momentum.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI stands at 7.7, indicating that the stock may be oversold, which could be a bullish signal for potential investors looking for entry points in undervalued assets.

Alternative Data Analysis

Job Postings and Employee Sentiment: Lilium currently has zero open positions, a 100% decrease in job postings over recent months. This cutback may signal cost-cutting measures, which is generally not ideal for a company that should be in a growth phase. Employee sentiment also appears low, with only 39% of employees having a positive business outlook, down 35% in recent months. This decline in morale is concerning for long-term stability and growth.

Customer Acquisition: The estimated 170,000 visitors to Lilium’s webpage represent a 78% increase over the last few months. This rise is a bullish indicator as it suggests a growing interest in Lilium's offerings, which may eventually translate into customer acquisition and revenue growth.

Customer Engagement: On social media, Lilium has 78,000 followers on Instagram and 36,000 followers on Twitter, with no significant changes over the past few months. Stability in social media followership is neither particularly positive nor negative, but consistent engagement is crucial for maintaining brand awareness.

AI Score: According to AltIndex's AI score, which evaluates stocks based on various data points, Lilium scores a 35, signaling a "sell." This score reflects composite concerns from fundamental, technical, and alternative data sources.

Conclusion and Recommendation

In conclusion, Lilium's stock presents a mixed picture for potential investors. On the fundamental side, the lack of revenue and declining EBITDA are substantial concerns, although improvements in net income provide a slight positive offset. Technically, the dramatically low stock price and RSI suggest potential undervaluation, but long-term stability remains uncertain. Alternative data offers both encouraging trends in customer interest and concerning signs in employment cuts and employee sentiment.

Based on the data analyzed, the recommendation would be to exercise caution. Potential investors might consider waiting for more signs of revenue generation and operational improvements before making commitments. Monitoring job postings and employee sentiment will also provide additional insights into Lilium's internal health. While the current low stock price might seem attractive to risk-tolerant investors, a "hold" or "sell" stance is advised until more positive and robust data points emerge.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.