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Mondelez - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated July 8, 2024

Mondelez International, Inc., headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, is a leading global snacking company with a rich portfolio of iconic brands, including Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone, Trident, and many more. The company operates in approximately 160 countries around the world, delivering delicious snacks and expanding its reach through innovation and strategic acquisitions.

Fundamental Analysis

Mondelez's revenue for the last quarter was $9.29 billion. While this represents a slight decrease of 0.26% compared to the previous quarter, it reflects a positive year-over-year growth of 1.35%, highlighting the company's resilience in a challenging market.

The net income for the last quarter stood at $1.41 billion, a significant increase of 48.63% compared to the prior quarter, indicating improved operational efficiency. However, there is a year-over-year decrease of 32.15%, which raises questions about the company's growth sustainability.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $2.49 billion, an increase of 50.33% quarter-over-quarter but a 22.22% year-over-year decline. This mixed outlook warrants a closer examination of operational costs and market conditions.

The current Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.33 places Mondelez within a normal range. This balance suggests that the stock is neither undervalued nor overvalued, making it a neutral candidate for investment from a valuation standpoint.

Technical Analysis

Mondelez's current stock price is $67.00, reflecting a decrease of 0.55% over the past month, which can be concerning in the short term. Looking at the one-year horizon, the stock has declined by 4.64%, a signal for potential long-term investors to be cautious.

However, the trend appears bullish as indicated by the Simple Moving Average (SMA10) at 66.28, which is higher than the previous SMA10 of 66.12. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 69.5, a neutral indication, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.

Alternative Data Analysis

Regarding job postings and employee sentiment, Mondelez has 1,750 open positions, up by 46% in recent months, which signals expansion and growth potential. The business outlook among employees remains neutral, an area that might need attention to boost morale and productivity.

In terms of customer acquisition, Mondelez's estimated 590,000 website visitors represent a decline of 17% in recent months, a concerning trend that could indicate waning customer interest. On a more positive note, the company's Instagram followers have increased by 4% to 81,000, suggesting growing social media engagement. Meanwhile, Twitter followers stand at 34,000, with no significant change.

Finally, AltIndex's AI score for Mondelez is 61, a buy signal. This AI score takes into account multiple data points, blending fundamental, technical, and alternative data to provide a comprehensive stock evaluation.

Conclusion

Based on the analysis, Mondelez shows a mix of promising and cautionary signs. The company demonstrates resilience and efficiency improvements, as seen in the quarter-over-quarter growth in net income and EBITDA. However, the year-over-year decline in these metrics requires scrutiny.

Technically, the stock shows a potential bullish trend, yet the long-term decrease in stock price warrants caution. From an alternative data perspective, the growth in job postings and social media followers are positives, although the decline in website visits is a concern.

Taking everything into consideration, Mondelez appears to be a cautiously optimistic buy. Investors should consider the mixed signals and stay updated on future company developments to make well-informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.