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Oracle - AI Stock Analysis
Analysis generated July 25, 2025
Oracle Corporation is one of the world's leading software and hardware vendors, specializing in database management systems, cloud engineered systems, and enterprise software products. Found in 1977, Oracle has grown to become an essential player in the IT industry, with a robust portfolio that includes databases, cloud infrastructure, ERP systems, and numerous business applications. Over the years, Oracle has expanded its market footprint through strategic acquisitions and continued innovation.
Fundamental Analysis
As of the latest fiscal quarter, Oracle's revenue stands at $15.9 billion. This marks a substantial increase of 12.55% compared to the previous quarter and an 11.31% rise year-over-year. Such growth indicates strong market demand and effectiveness in Oracle’s sales and marketing strategies.
The net income for the same period was $3.43 billion, up 16.72% from the previous quarter and 9.00% year-over-year. A rising net income is a strong indicator of effective cost management and overall profitability.
However, the EBITDA, which stands at $5.11 billion, has decreased by 19.26% compared to the previous quarter and 18.52% year-over-year. This downturn could be a red flag, suggesting potential issues in operational efficiency or increasing costs.
The current Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is 55.87. This relatively high P/E ratio may indicate that Oracle's stock is potentially overvalued, suggesting a bearish outlook in the short term.
It’s also worth noting that there have been several insider sales in the last few months, which usually serves as a bearish signal and can indicate that those with the most knowledge of the company's prospects may anticipate a downturn.
Technical Analysis
Oracle's current stock price is $244.82. This figure represents a 16.43% increase from the last month and a striking 78.01% rise over the past year, reflecting a robust bullish trend.
The current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is 243.76, slightly higher than the previous SMA10 of 242.77. This movement supports the notion of a potential upward trend in Oracle's stock price.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 37.4, which indicates a neutral condition. With scores typically between 30 and 70, an RSI in the 37.4 range suggests neither overselling nor overbuying, though compared to previous weeks, it might trend lower, signaling caution.
Alternative Data Analysis
Oracle currently has 4,221 open positions, a figure that has decreased by 37% in the last couple of months. This decline could indicate attempts to streamline operations and cut costs. Such measures often reflect an adverse outlook, especially for a growing company.
The business outlook among Oracle employees is reported as neutral, which doesn’t sound particularly optimistic for internal growth metrics or morale.
For customer acquisition, Oracle's webpage garnered an estimated 19 million visitors, down by 27% over the last couple of months. Declines in web traffic can be concerning as they often signify a reduction in customer interest or engagement.
Regarding customer engagement, Oracle’s social media presence has remained relatively stable. The company has 370,000 followers on Instagram and 820,000 followers on Twitter, with no significant changes in these figures recently.
The AltIndex AI score provides Oracle with a score of 41, which is considered a hold signal. This score is derived from the synthesis of fundamental, technical, and alternative data analyses.
Conclusion and Recommendation
In conclusion, Oracle Corporation showcases a mixed bag of metrics. While the company demonstrates strong revenue and net income growth, a high P/E ratio and falling EBITDA indicate some causes for caution. Short-term and long-term technical trends are bullish, albeit with a neutral RSI. Alternative data such as declining job postings and reduced web traffic suggest some underlying issues.
Given the combination of these factors, Oracle’s stock warrants a "hold" recommendation. Investors may want to await clearer signals of operational efficiency improvements and consistent customer engagement growth before making substantial new investments.
Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.