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Oracle - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated September 30, 2025

Oracle Corporation is a globally renowned technology company specializing in database software, cloud solutions, and enterprise software products. The firm has successfully transitioned over the years from its on-premise offerings to cloud-based services, representing a diversified revenue stream. Leveraging its comprehensive suite of applications, Oracle caters to numerous industry verticals. As of today, Oracle continues to demonstrate its core strength in innovation and adaptability to market changes.

Fundamental Analysis

Oracle's revenue for the last quarter was $14.9 billion, marking a decrease of 6.14% from the previous quarter. This downturn may raise some concerns about the company’s short-term financial stability. However, year-over-year performance paints a brighter picture, with an increase of 12.17%, indicative of positive long-term growth.

Net income for the last quarter stood at $2.93 billion, demonstrating a decrease of 14.59% from the previous quarter. This could signal potential challenges in maintaining or improving profitability. Year-over-year, however, the decline is much more modest at 0.07%, suggesting relative stability.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $4.7 billion, reflecting a significant decrease of 31.19% from the previous quarter and a year-over-year decline of 13.64%. This trend could be concerning, as it may indicate a lower operational efficiency or higher costs.

The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 65.77, which is relatively high. This may suggest that the stock is overvalued, potentially signaling a bearish outlook. Additionally, recent insider selling activity can be perceived as a negative indicator.

Technical Analysis

Oracle's current stock price is $278.41, reflecting an increase of 23.12% over the past month and 68.35% over the past year. These statistics suggest strong positive trends both in the short term and long term.

However, despite the impressive price surge, the trend indicator is bearish. The current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) of $296.20 is lower than the previous SMA10 of $299.22, indicating potential downward momentum in the price movement.

Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 68.4, which falls within the neutral range. This indicates that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, adding some uncertainty to the potential future price direction.

Alternative Data Analysis

From the perspective of job postings and employee sentiment, Oracle currently has 3,820 open positions, down by 37% in the last couple of months. This could indicate attempts to improve margins or cut costs but is not a favorable signal for a company expected to grow.

Customer acquisition data reveals that Oracle’s website attracts approximately 23 million visitors, up by 9% in the last couple of months. This positive trend could potentially translate into customer growth and increased revenue.

Regarding customer engagement, Oracle maintains 370,000 followers on Instagram and 830,000 followers on Twitter. The lack of significant changes in these numbers suggests stable but stagnant social media engagement.

Lastly, taking into consideration AltIndex’s AI score, Oracle has a score of 51, which indicates a “hold” signal. This consolidates the mixed signals from various analysis forms.

Conclusion and Recommendation

In conclusion, Oracle demonstrates a mixture of positive and negative signs. On one hand, its revenue and stock price show strong year-over-year growth, and customer acquisition numbers are increasing. On the other hand, recent financial metrics such as net income and EBITDA are declining, and the P/E ratio signals potential overvaluation. Combining this with the bearish technical trend and neutral alternative data, the stock is best rated as a “hold.” Investors should keep an eye on the company’s ability to navigate its current challenges and maintain its long-term growth trajectory.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.