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Quad - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated December 2, 2024

Quad is a company that offers various marketing and production services. These include marketing strategy, creative services, media planning & placement, logistics, and print solutions. The company is headquartered in Sussex, Wisconsin, and operates predominantly within the United States. Quad has built a reputation for managing complex marketing needs through its streamlined processes and resources.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $675 million. This represents an increase of 6.40% compared to the previous quarter, signaling positive growth. However, comparing this to the same quarter last year, there is a slight decrease of 1.13%, which may raise concerns about long-term consistency.

Net income for the last quarter **$25 million** saw a massive decrease of 782.14% from the prior quarter. This sharp decline is a red flag and requires further investigation. Year over year, net income also declined by 814.81%, underlying a concerning trend in profitability.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $20 million, showing a decline of 52.76% from the previous quarter. This suggests deteriorating operational efficiency. Compared to the same quarter last year, there is a decline of 57.36%, which further reinforces the need for concern regarding the company’s operational health.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price is $7.22, an increase of 14.24% from a month ago and a 57.99% rise from a year ago. These numbers indicate a strong bullish trend.

The current 10-day Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is $7.19, slightly higher than the previous SMA10 of $7.17, indicating a potential upward trend.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 69.9, suggesting neutral conditions. Despite the positive short-term and long-term trends, investors should tread cautiously as the RSI nears overbought territory.

Alternative Data Analysis

Quad has 181 open positions, a decrease of 41% in the last couple of months. This indicates that the company might be focusing on improving margins or cutting costs, a strategy often seen in financially troubled periods.

Employee sentiment is low, with only 39% of the workforce holding a positive outlook. This can indicate internal challenges that may impact performance and productivity.

Customer acquisition appears to be dwindling, with an estimated 94,000 visitors to their webpage, an 81% decline in recent months. This is a worrying sign as it may indicate losing customer interest.

Customer engagement has also dipped, with Twitter followers down by 1%, signaling a loss of interest or faith in the company’s social media presence.

Finally, according to AltIndex's AI score, Quad scores a 42, suggesting a hold signal. This score incorporates fundamental, technical, and alternative data analyses, giving a well-rounded perspective of the stock.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Overall, Quad shows alarming signs across several metrics despite recent stock performance gains. The company's revenue growth is inconsistent, and significant declines in net income and EBITDA raise red flags. Although the technical outlook appears bullish with consistent upward trends, the internal sentiment and operational corrections imply underlying issues that need resolution. The alternative data further supports these concerns, highlighting internal and external challenges.

Given the mixed signals from fundamental and alternative analyses and the cautious optimism from technical analysis, the recommendation would be to hold the stock. Investors should remain vigilant and look for improvements in fundamentals and alternative data points before making more concrete investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.