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Super Micro Computer - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated April 21, 2025

Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a global leader in high-performance, high-efficiency server technology and innovation. The company offers a broad array of products including server, storage, blade, and embedded systems. These solutions support a wide range of markets including data centers, cloud computing, big data, and enterprise IT. Founded in 1993 and headquartered in San Jose, California, Super Micro Computer has carved out a niche as a premier provider of server solutions globally.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $5.68 billion. This represents a decrease of 4.37% compared to the quarter before it, indicating a need for concern. However, compared to the same quarter last year, there is an increase of 54.93%, suggesting strong year-over-year growth. This is a remarkable figure that highlights the company's ability to scale and grow over time.

Net income for the last quarter was $321 million. This represents a decrease of 24.45% compared to the quarter before it, which again signals a need for caution. However, compared to the same quarter last year, there is an increase of 8.32%, showing positive year-over-year growth albeit not as strong as revenue growth.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $396 million, showcasing an increase of 0.00% compared to the quarter before it. Compared to the same quarter last year, EBITDA increased by 4.04%. This steady growth in EBITDA signifies that the company is managing its operational costs effectively.

The current Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is 13.7, appearing to be within a normal range, neither particularly high nor low. This suggests that the stock is fairly valued at its current price.

Notably, there have been a couple of company insiders selling their stock in the last couple of months, which could be seen as a bearish signal.

Technical Analysis

Today’s stock price is $30.29. This represents a decrease of 28.14% compared to a month ago, raising concerns in the short term. Over the long term, the price has dropped 57.75% compared to a year ago, which could be a significant cause for concern.

The trend is notably bearish, with the current SMA10 at $32.11, lower than the previous SMA10 of $32.40. This indicates a potential downward trend in price movement. Furthermore, the RSI stands at 63.1, indicating a neutral condition in terms of momentum.

Alternative Data Analysis

Super Micro Computer currently has 613 open positions according to data from the most popular job boards, which is up by 34% in the last couple of months. This indicates that the company is looking to grow and expand, a potentially healthy sign for future performance.

The business outlook among employees at Super Micro Computer is neutral, suggesting neither exuberance nor pessimism among the workforce.

In terms of customer acquisition, Super Micro Computer has an estimated 1.3 million visitors to their webpage. However, this number is down by 40% in the last couple of months, a worrisome trend that could indicate a loss in customers.

Customer engagement metrics show that Super Micro Computer has 12,000 followers on their Instagram page, up by 40% in the last couple of months, indicating increased interest in the company. On Twitter, they have 58,000 followers, an increase of 8% over the last couple of months, also signaling growing interest.

According to AltIndex's AI score, which attempts to predict a company’s stock price based on a blend of fundamental, technical, and alternative data analysis, Super Micro Computer has an AI score of 51, which is a hold signal.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Super Micro Computer exhibits a mixed bag of metrics across fundamental, technical, and alternative data analyses. Strong year-over-year growth in revenue and EBITDA points towards a company with solid operational performance. However, short-term declines in stock price and net income, coupled with insider selling, raise concerns.

Given the bearish technical indicators and the potential for customer attrition indicated by the drop in webpage visitors, it may be prudent for investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach. Although the AltIndex AI score suggests a hold, the long-term growth potential cannot be ignored. Investors are advised to hold their positions while keeping an eye on future performance metrics and market conditions.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.