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SoundHound - AI Stock Analysis
Analysis generated November 11, 2024
SoundHound Inc. is an innovative company at the forefront of speech and sound recognition technology. The company's flagship product suite includes voice assistant and voice-enabled technology, which allows businesses to integrate conversational interfaces into their digital ecosystems. SoundHound has positioned itself as a leader in the AI-driven voice recognition space, competing with major players by leveraging advanced natural language understanding (NLU) capabilities.
Fundamental Analysis
The revenue for SoundHound in the last quarter was $3.5 million. This reflects a worrying 40.32% decrease compared to the previous quarter, raising red flags about immediate business performance. However, compared to the same quarter from the previous year, there is an increase of 11.32%, indicating a positive trajectory in a year-over-year context.
Net income stood at $37 million for the last quarter, showing a decline of 13.10% from the previous quarter. The more troubling metric is the year-over-year comparison, where Net Income has decreased by 60.13%, pointing towards significant challenges in maintaining profitability.
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) was $40 million for the last quarter. This signifies a drastic decrease of 52.08% compared to the previous quarter and an even larger year-over-year decrease of 154.82%. Such figures are cause for substantial concern as they indicate shrinking operational profitability.
Additionally, insider trading trends show company insiders selling their shares over the past couple of months, which is generally seen as a bearish signal. This could indicate that insiders have less confidence in the company's future performance.
Technical Analysis
Currently, SoundHound’s stock is trading at $7.77, showcasing an impressive short-term growth of 58.25% over the last month. This is a strong indication of bullish sentiment in the short run. On a longer-term scale, the stock has surged by 334.08% compared to a year ago, adding to the optimistic technical outlook.
The current SMA10 is 6.28, indicating a potential upward trend as it is higher than the previous SMA10 of 6.01. However, caution is warranted as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 71.8, signaling an overbought condition and suggesting a potential bearish outlook due to overvaluation.
Alternative Data Analysis
Analyzing alternative data provides interesting insights into SoundHound's operational standing. Starting with job postings and overall employee sentiment, the company has 1 open position, down by 86% recently. This drastic reduction could be indicative of cost-cutting measures, a strategy not typically associated with growth.
Business outlook shows a 43% upward trend in sentiment, suggesting some optimism among stakeholders despite other challenging signs. However, customer acquisition rates are concerning. Website visitors are down by 30% over the last few months, and daily mobile app downloads have decreased by 33%, implying potential difficulties in maintaining user engagement.
Social media metrics show mixed interest levels. Instagram followers decreased by 1%, whereas Twitter followers increased by 9% over the same period. These variations could affect brand visibility and customer engagement levels.
Importantly, the AltIndex AI score for SoundHound stands at 50, suggesting a 'hold' signal. This score combines fundamental, technical, and alternative data points and indicates a neutral stance on the stock.
Conclusion and Recommendation
Evaluating SoundHound’s stock requires balancing the optimistic short-term technical trends with the more concerning fundamental and alternative data indicators. While the stock has shown substantial growth in the short and long term, the decrease in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, along with troubling alternative data points, presents significant concerns.
Based on the mixed signals from the fundamental analysis, cautious optimism from technical analysis, and the neutral standing from alternative data analysis, the overall recommendation for SoundHound stock is to hold. Investors should closely monitor future earnings reports and operational metrics for signs of sustained growth or further decline, allowing for more informed decision-making in the near future.
Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.