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Grupo Supervielle SA - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated November 30, 2024

Grupo Supervielle SA is a financial services company based in Argentina. It operates through its banking, insurance, and asset management sectors, offering comprehensive services such as loans, insurance policies, and investment products. This makes it a critical player in the Argentine financial landscape, with significant influence on both retail and corporate sectors.

Fundamental Analysis

The financial metrics for Grupo Supervielle SA show a mixed bag. Revenue for the last quarter was 171B. Although this represents a 22.13% decrease compared to the previous quarter, indicating some short-term issues, it also shows a 108.34% increase compared to the same quarter last year, suggesting solid year-over-year growth.

Net income for the last quarter came in at 17.1B, which is a significant 63.24% decline compared to the previous quarter but a noteworthy 96.78% increase year-over-year. This mixed performance warrants caution but does exhibit long-term positive growth potential.

The EBITDA was 40.6B, reflecting a robust 49.33% increase compared to the previous quarter. However, it witnessed a stark 18,110.05% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. Such volatility highlights the need for investors to closely monitor future EBITDA figures.

The current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.35. This low P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is undervalued, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors looking at long-term growth.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price stands at 11.93. There has been a notable 33.89% increase over the past month, highlighting a positive short-term trend. Over the last year, the stock price has surged by 261.52%, signaling a bullish long-term trend.

The current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is 11.18, slightly higher than the previous SMA10 of 11.12. This indicates a potential upward momentum in price movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 60.9, indicating neutral conditions but leaning towards a bullish trajectory.

Alternative Data Analysis

In terms of job postings and employee sentiment, Grupo Supervielle SA has 0 open positions, marking a 100% decline over the last few months. This reduction in hiring might indicate cost-cutting measures, which could be concerning for a company looking to grow.

Employee sentiment remains neutral, neither overly optimistic nor pessimistic, which could be indicative of uncertainty within the company.

Concerning customer acquisition, the company has seen a significant 80% decrease in webpage visitors over the last few months. This downward trend may point towards dwindling customer interest or a decline in new customer acquisition, which is alarming.

Nevertheless, based on AltIndex's AI score, which combines fundamental, technical, and alternative data analysis, Grupo Supervielle SA scores a 74, representing a 'buy' signal.

Conclusion

In summary, Grupo Supervielle SA presents both opportunities and risks. The fundamental analysis shows year-over-year growth despite recent setbacks. Technical indicators support a bullish trend, and the low P/E ratio suggests the stock may be undervalued. However, alternative data reveals potential concerns regarding employee sentiment and customer engagement.

Investors should weigh these factors carefully. While the AI score suggests a 'buy', caution is advised due to some concerning metrics in fundamental and alternative data. Monitoring future earnings reports and market conditions will be crucial in making a well-informed investment decision.

Recommendation: Buy, but with caution

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.
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