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Tesla - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated April 21, 2025

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is an American electric vehicle (EV) and clean energy company founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning. Headquartered in Palo Alto, California, Tesla has become a globally recognized leader in the EV market, with CEO Elon Musk driving the company towards a mission of accelerating the world's transition to sustainable energy. Tesla's product lineup includes electric vehicles, energy storage systems, and solar energy solutions, with the Model S, Model X, Model 3, Model Y, and the upcoming Cybertruck as its flagship EVs. The company's innovative approach towards autonomous driving and artificial intelligence, primarily through its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, puts it at the forefront of the automotive and technology industries.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $25.7B. This represents an increase of 2.08% compared to the previous quarter, indicating a positive sign of growth. Year-over-year, the revenue also increased by 2.15%, which further signifies healthy expansion despite market challenges.

Net income for the last quarter stood at $2.36B, an 8.72% rise from the previous quarter. However, it's important to note that there is a substantial decrease of 70.29% compared to the same quarter last year. This could raise concerns about the company's profitability and operational efficiency over the long term.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $4.36B, which represents a 3.17% increase from the previous quarter and a significant 25.09% increase year-over-year. EBITDA growth suggests the company is making strides in operating performance and profit generation.

Currently, Tesla has a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 117.75. This is notably high and may signal overvaluation, indicating that the stock could be expensive relative to its earnings. Insider selling activity has also increased, which might be viewed as a bearish signal for potential investors.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price is $223.99, a decrease of 9.94% from a month ago, marking a short-term concern. However, the stock price has increased by 57.68% over the past year, indicating a positive long-term trend.

The trend is currently bearish, supported by the current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) of 244.21, lower than the previous SMA10 of 247.04. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 78.6, suggesting an overbought condition and potential for a bearish reversal.

Alternative Data Analysis

According to job postings on popular job boards, Tesla has 3,939 open positions, up by 24% in the last couple of months. This indicates the company is in a growth phase, potentially a healthy sign despite neutral employee sentiment about the business outlook.

Tesla's webpage has seen an estimated 38 million visitors, up by 10% in the last couple of months, indicating increased customer interest and potential for higher sales. The company's apps are downloaded by approximately 11,000 users daily, with no significant change in download rates recently.

On social media, Tesla has 9.6 million Instagram followers, down by 1% in recent months. However, with 24 million followers on Twitter, engagement remains stable. AltIndex's AI score, which assesses Tesla's stock based on various analytical methods, stands at 39, signaling a sell recommendation.

Conclusion and Recommendation

In summary, Tesla shows a mixed picture. While revenue and EBITDA growth are positive, the significant year-over-year decline in net income may be a red flag. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend with short-term downward pressure on the stock price. Alternative data provides a somewhat bullish outlook regarding job growth and customer interest, though social media engagement appears to be stagnating. Given the high P/E ratio and insider selling activity, caution is recommended. Overall, based on our comprehensive analysis, potential investors might want to adopt a cautious approach and consider monitoring Tesla's performance closely before making significant investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.
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