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Tesla - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated March 31, 2025

Tesla, Inc. is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company founded in 2003 by Elon Musk and a group of engineers. The company designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles (EVs) and also engages in energy generation and storage solutions. Tesla's rapid growth and market dominance have solidified its position as a leading innovator in the electric vehicle market.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue: Tesla's revenue for the last quarter was $25.7 billion. This reflects a 2.08% increase compared to the previous quarter, signifying consistent growth. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at 2.15%, indicating positive long-term performance.

Net Income: The company reported a net income of $2.32 billion for the last quarter. While this is a 6.92% increase quarter-over-quarter, it represents a 70.77% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. This significant year-over-year decline could be a cause for concern.

EBITDA: EBITDA for the last quarter was $1.19 billion, showing a dramatic decrease of 71.78% compared to the previous quarter and a 65.79% decrease compared to the same quarter last year. This notable decline in EBITDA suggests potential challenges in operating efficiencies.

PE Ratio: The current Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is 129.83. A high PE ratio can indicate overvaluation, which may raise concerns about the stock's current price level.

Insider Activity: Recent insider sales may signal a bearish sentiment within the company, potentially indicating that insiders believe the stock may be overvalued or face upcoming challenges.

Technical Analysis

Stock Price: Currently, Tesla's stock price stands at $263.55. This represents a 7.41% decline compared to a month ago, suggesting short-term bearish sentiment. However, the price has increased by 50.41% over the past year, indicating a strong long-term bullish trend.

Simple Moving Average (SMA): The current SMA10 is $266.31, up from the previous SMA10 of $264.83, suggesting a potential upward trend in price movement.

Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 36.9, indicating a neutral condition. An RSI below 30 would suggest an oversold condition, while an RSI above 70 would suggest an overbought condition.

Alternative Data Analysis

Job Postings and Employee Sentiment: Tesla has 3,484 open positions, which is up by 14% in the last couple of months. This increase in job postings suggests the company is looking to expand, a positive indicator of growth. However, the business outlook among employees is neutral.

Customer Acquisition: Tesla's website attracts roughly 33 million visitors monthly, with no significant change recently. Additionally, about 12,000 users download their mobile apps daily, which also shows no meaningful change. Steady numbers in these metrics suggest stable customer interest.

Customer Engagement: Tesla has 9.6 million Instagram followers, although there's been a 1% decline in the last couple of months. Twitter followers stand at 24 million, with no significant change. A slight decrease in Instagram followers could indicate waning interest among some users.

AI Score: Tesla's AI score, based on combined data analysis, is 53, which suggests a "hold" signal. This score indicates that the stock is neither clearly bullish nor bearish.

Conclusion and Recommendation

In summary, Tesla's fundamental analysis presents a mixed bag with strong revenue growth but concerning declines in net income and EBITDA. The high PE ratio suggests potential overvaluation, and insider selling adds a layer of caution. The technical analysis indicates a strong long-term trend despite recent price declines, and the alternative data analysis paints a picture of stability with room for growth. Conservative investors might consider holding Tesla as the stock appears fairly valued, but those seeking aggressive growth should remain cautious of the potential for volatility and the signals of potential bearish trends.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.
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