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ExxonMobil - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated December 2, 2024

ExxonMobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) is one of the largest publicly traded international oil and gas companies. It engages in the exploration, production, transportation, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petrochemicals, and other products. With a presence in over 200 countries, ExxonMobil is a leading player in the energy sector, known for its substantial reserves and a robust operational footprint.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $90 billion. However, this represents a decrease of 3.27% compared to the previous quarter, indicating some performance challenges. On a year-over-year basis, this is a decrease of 0.82%, further indicating stability but not growth.

Net income for the last quarter was $8.61 billion. This also shows a decrease of 6.82% compared to the previous quarter and a decrease of 5.07% compared to the same quarter last year. Declining net income could be a matter of concern regarding the company's profitability and cost management.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $13.7 billion, showing a significant decline of 18.41% from the previous quarter and 27.26% from a year-ago period. EBITDA is often used as a measure of operational efficiency, and these reductions could indicate some operational inefficiencies or market challenges.

The current P/E ratio is 14.71, which appears to be well within the normal range, indicating that the stock is neither undervalued nor overvalued at this moment in time.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price is $117.96, an increase of 3.46% compared to a month ago, reflecting a positive short-term trend. Over a year, the stock price has increased by 18.43%, highlighting a positive long-term trend.

The trend, however, remains bearish. The current SMA10 is 119.25, lower than the previous SMA10 of 119.65, suggesting a potential downward trend. The RSI is 40.9, indicating a neutral condition. A value below 30 would generally signal an oversold condition, while a value above 70 would indicate an overbought condition. Thus, the RSI at 40.9 implies neither extreme.

Alternative Data Analysis

Starting with job postings and employee sentiment, ExxonMobil has 332 open positions, down by 38% in the last couple of months. This suggests a possible focus on cost-cutting, which may impact future growth prospects.

The business outlook among employees at ExxonMobil is neutral.

Regarding customer acquisition, ExxonMobil has an estimated 1.1 million visitors to their webpage, showing stability. There have been approximately 1,100 daily downloads of their mobile apps, marking a 28% increase, which is a bullish indicator for customer engagement.

In terms of customer engagement on social media, ExxonMobil has 120,000 followers on Instagram and 340,000 followers on Twitter. These metrics show no meaningful changes, suggesting a stable but unexciting engagement level.

AltIndex's AI score for ExxonMobil is 38, which signals a 'sell' recommendation based on a comprehensive analysis of fundamental, technical, and alternative data factors.

Conclusion

While ExxonMobil shows some resilience with a positive trend in stock price over the long term, the recent declines in revenue, net income, and EBITDA point to potential underlying issues in the company’s operational efficiency and market position. The technical analysis reveals a bearish trend with neutral RSI conditions, while alternative data point to potential cost-cutting measures and stable but unspectacular customer engagement metrics.

Considering all of this data, ExxonMobil appears to be facing some headwinds. Investors may want to exercise caution, and it might be prudent to hold off on new investments until more consistent signs of growth and operational efficiency are evident.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.
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