Important note

This AI stock analysis for ASML is not up to date. Creating and accessing our AI stock Analysis (powered by our data and Chat GPT) is only available for our premium users. Sign up to get access today!

ASML - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated May 12, 2025

ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ: ASML) is a prominent player in the semiconductor industry, supplying critical equipment used in the manufacturing of integrated circuits. The company specializes in photolithography systems essential for the production of cutting-edge semiconductors. ASML continues to play a pivotal role in advancing semiconductor technology, thereby driving innovation in various sectors ranging from consumer electronics to data centers and beyond.

Fundamental Analysis

ASML's revenue for the last quarter was $7.74 billion, marking a notable decrease of 16.42% compared to the previous quarter. This downturn may raise some concerns, particularly in a highly competitive industry. Despite this, the YoY growth of 46.34% in revenue indicates robust and sustainable growth.

The net income for the last quarter stood at $2.36 billion, representing a decrease of 12.56% from the prior quarter. Again, this might be a warning sign, but the YoY growth of 92.43% is a significant positive indicator, showing strong profitability over the longer term.

However, the EBITDA for the last quarter was $0, highlighting a decrease of 100% compared to the previous quarter and the same quarter last year. This is highly concerning and needs further exploration to understand the underlying causes.

The company's current Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is 28.25, which can be considered high. This valuation metric suggests that the stock might be overvalued, necessitating a cautious approach amidst a potentially bearish outlook.

Technical Analysis

The current stock price of ASML is $706.21, reflecting an increase of 6.17% compared to a month ago, suggesting a positive short-term trend. Nonetheless, the price has decreased by 21.95% over the last year, indicating potential long-term concerns.

The simple moving average (SMA) over the past 10 days (SMA10) stands at 697.73, which is higher than the previous SMA10 of 696.14. This indicates an upward trend in price movement, supporting the bullish sentiment.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 67.2, indicating a neutral market condition. However, it is inching closer to the overbought territory, which requires careful monitoring.

Alternative Data Analysis

ASML currently has 598 open job positions, up by 28% over the last couple of months. This increase might suggest that the company is poised for expansion, a healthy sign of growth.

The business outlook among employees is neutral, which shows no immediate red flags but also no strong bullish sentiment.

ASML's website traffic has seen an estimate of 1.1M visitors, up by 13% in the last couple of months, which could potentially translate into increased customer acquisition. This is a bullish indicator.

On social media, ASML has 31,000 followers on Instagram and 44,000 followers on Twitter. Both platforms have shown a growth of 3% and 4% respectively in the past couple of months, suggesting growing interest and engagement with the company’s brand.

AltIndex’s AI score for ASML is 71, indicating a buy signal when considering the amalgamation of fundamental, technical, and alternative data points.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Based on a thorough analysis of ASML's fundamentals, technical indicators, and alternative data, the stock presents a mixed picture. The fundamental data shows strong year-over-year growth but quarterly declines in revenue and net income that need careful monitoring. Technical indicators suggest a short-term upward trend but reflect caution due to long-term declines. Alternative data provides a more bullish view, indicating potential growth in customer acquisition and employee expansion.

Considering all these factors, an informed recommendation would lean towards a cautious buy, provided the investor is willing to monitor for signs of sustained growth and any potential downside risks. It is advisable to keep an eye on quarterly results and relevant market trends to ensure the robustness of the investment.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.