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Coursera - AI Stock Analysis
Analysis generated May 22, 2024
Coursera, Inc. is a leading online learning platform that provides individuals with access to world-class education from prestigious universities and companies. Founded in 2012, the company has grown to become a significant player in the edu-tech sector, offering courses, specializations, and degrees. As the online education sector continues to grow, Coursera's market presence and partnerships position it favorably for future growth.
Fundamental Analysis
Coursera's recent financial data reflect mixed performance. **Revenue for the last quarter was $169 million**, which is an increase of **0.11%** compared to the previous quarter. This is a positive sign of growth and indicates stability. More impressively, year-over-year growth for revenue stands at **14.51%**, demonstrating strong upward momentum.
However, **net income for the last quarter was $21 million**, representing a **4.42% decrease** compared to the previous quarter. Despite this decline, the net income showed a substantial year-over-year increase of **34.32%**, contributing to an overall positive long-term outlook.
**EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization)** for the last quarter was $25 million, marking a **7.78% increase** from the previous quarter and **29.81% growth** year-over-year. This trend is encouraging as it indicates improved operating performance and the company's ability to generate earnings from operations.
On the downside, there have been several company insiders selling their stock in the past couple of months, which is generally a bearish signal and may indicate a lack of confidence in the company's short-term performance.
Technical Analysis
Coursera's stock price is performing poorly in the short and long term. **Today's stock price is $8.01**, signifying a significant decrease of **34.51%** compared to a month ago. The one-year performance is also grim, with a **35.92% decline** year-over-year, which is alarming for long-term investors.
The trend is decidedly bearish, with the current **SMA10 (Simple Moving Average) at 8.55**, slightly lower than the previous SMA10 of 8.64. This suggests potential continued downward movement. Additionally, the **RSI (Relative Strength Index) is 90.8**, indicating that the stock is potentially overbought and likely to see a price correction soon.
Alternative Data Analysis
Analyzing alternative data provides a more comprehensive view of Coursera's prospects. Starting with job postings and employee sentiment, Coursera currently has **21 open positions**, but this number is down by **34%** in the last couple of months. This decline may indicate efforts to cut costs or could signal underlying issues within the company.
The business outlook is also down by **5%** in recent months, which is worrisome. On the customer acquisition front, Coursera has an estimated **60 million visitors** to their webpage, but this number has decreased by **12%** in the last few months, indicating a potential loss in customer interest.
On a more positive note, Coursera has around **6,400 app downloads daily**, up by **10%** over the last few months, which might indicate a growing user base. Customer engagement metrics show that Coursera has **580,000 Instagram followers** and **490,000 Twitter followers**, with no significant changes, suggesting stable but stagnant engagement.
According to AltIndex's AI score, which predicts stock prices, Coursera has an AI score of 55, indicating a "hold" signal based on a mix of fundamental, technical, and alternative data.
Conclusion and Recommendation
Coursera presents a complex financial picture. While the fundamental analysis shows promising year-over-year growth in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, the recent insider selling and negative short-term net income trend are causes for concern. Technical analysis paints a troubling picture with significant declines in stock price and bearish indicators. Alternative data shows mixed signals with a decline in job postings and web traffic, but an increase in app downloads.
Given the mixed signals from various analyses and the AI score of 55, a "hold" recommendation is reasonable for Coursera's stock. Investors should monitor upcoming quarters to see if recent negative trends reverse or improve and look for new strategic moves by the company to bolster its long-term growth.
Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.