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First Watch (FWRG) Stock Analysis: AI Score & Alternative Data

Price
$10.43 -0.57%
AI Score
58Hold
Earnings
Nov 2
Market Cap
$701M
PE Ratio
40.6
52w Range
$10 – $19
$10.43 -0.57% vs prev close
FWRG Stock Price vs. AI Score Data gathered: September 16
3M -11.7%
58/100 AI Score
Hold
Brand
92/100
Employment
25/100
User Growth
71/100
Fundamental
55/100

Today's AI read on FWRG

FWRG alt-data: revenue climbing, job postings lagging

Is First Watch a buy right now? The alternative data says hold. This FWRG stock analysis is built on the 25+ alternative data signals AltIndex tracks on First Watch every day — hiring, web traffic, sentiment, social reach — rolled into an AI Score of 58/100: a Hold. The stock trades at $10.43 with a $701M market cap.

The bullish side of the 90-day ledger: revenue up 12.9% YoY to $350M, and Instagram followers up 5.4% to 293K followers. The drag: job postings down 88.4% to 10 open roles, and just 59% of employees report a positive business outlook. That tension is what keeps the score mid-range.

FWRG’s broader alt-data profile also covers headcount (5K employees, according to LinkedIn), web traffic (1.8M monthly visits), and sentiment (100/100). Every signal links to its own page with full history, the FWRG technical analysis covers RSI, moving averages, and support and resistance, and the full table of everything AltIndex tracks on FWRG is just below.

First Watch AI Stock Analysis

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FWRG) operates a portfolio of restaurants specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch offerings. Known for its fresh, high-quality meals and commitment to a customer-friendly environment, First Watch has emerged as a popular destination in the casual dining space.

Analysis generated September 2, 2026.

Read the full FWRG deep-dive
Fundamentals, alt-data signals and the full methodology, refreshed daily.
Read full analysis

Recent First Watch Stock Alerts

First Watch logo First Watch | September 15
Business Outlook among employees is down by 3.3% over the last month.
First Watch logo First Watch | September 15
Price is down by -6.2% in the last 24h.
First Watch logo First Watch | September 9
Price is down by -6% in the last 24h.
First Watch logo First Watch | August 19
Price is up by 6.3% in the last 24h.
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The moment Reddit spikes, sentiment flips, or insiders trade.
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First Watch Alternative Data

Alternative Data Value 3m Change Trend
Webpage Traffic 1.8M 1.0%
Job Posts 10 88.4%
LinkedIn Employees 5K 2.9%
Employee Recommend 60 3.2%
Business Outlook 59 3.3%
Sentiment 100 0%
Reddit Mentions 0 N/A
X Mentions 2 71.4%
Stocktwits Mentions 7 600.0%
News Mentions 1 N/A
Stocktwits Subscribers 337 6.0%
4chan Mentions 0 N/A
X Followers 4K 0%
Instagram Followers 293K 5.4%
Facebook Followers 241K 4.3%
Facebook Engagement 8K 5.2%

About First Watch (FWRG)

First Watch is an American restaurant chain based in Bradenton, Florida. As of June 2021, the chain has more than 420 locations in 28 states and 9,000 employees.

First Watch logo
Price$10.43
Target Price$387.74
Volume63,420,177
Market Cap$701M
Year Range$10 – $19
Dividend Yield0%
PE Ratio40.6
Analyst Rating38% buy
IndustryRestaurants

Latest First Watch News

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First Watch Earnings & Financial Performance

View all earnings →

First Watch Insider Trading Activity

View all →
Wolszczak Jay Anthony filed to sell 228,930 shares at $0.0.
Mar 17 '26
HOPE H MELVILLE III filed to sell 111,787 shares at $0.0.
Mar 17 '26
Sorensen Laura Anne filed to sell 237,353 shares at $0.0.
Mar 17 '26
Hartman Eric Richard filed to sell 244,530 shares at $0.0.
Mar 17 '26
Jones John Daniel filed to sell 84,725 shares at $0.0.
Mar 17 '26

First Watch Congress Trading

View all →
Politician Filing Date Type Size
Josh Gottheimer
May 20, 26 Buy $8K+
Josh Gottheimer
Apr 9, 26 Sell $8K+
Gilbert Cisneros
Dec 16, 25 Buy $8K+
Gilbert Cisneros
Jun 9, 25 Buy $8K+
Josh Gottheimer
Sep 11, 24 Buy $8K+

Frequently Asked Questions: First Watch (FWRG)

First Watch has an AltIndex AI Score of 58/100 (Hold). The score reflects mixed alternative data signals. All investments carry risk.

58/100. The AI Score combines 25+ alternative data signals including job postings, employee sentiment, social media, web traffic, and financials. Scores above 60 = buy, 40–59 = hold, below 40 = sell. Updated daily.

Currently, the price of one share of First Watch (FWRG) stock is $10.43 with a market cap of $701M.

As of today, First Watch’s PE (Price to Earnings) ratio is 40.6.

View the latest First Watch insider transactions to see recent buying and selling activity by company executives and directors.

Check the First Watch congress trading page for the latest disclosed trades by U.S. senators and representatives.

AltIndex tracks 25+ signals including job postings, web traffic, employee sentiment, Reddit mentions, Stocktwits activity, insider transactions, congressional trades, Google Trends, app downloads, and more.

The FWRG stock price chart above shows First Watch’s performance over time alongside its AI Score. Investors can identify patterns, trends, and potential support or resistance levels. View the full First Watch technical analysis for RSI, moving averages, and more.

See the stocks similar to First Watch section on this page for companies in the same industry ranked by market cap and AI Score.

The analytics provided are estimates and not a substitute for professional advice. All investments involve risks, including possible capital loss.